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It may be just electioneering: López Obrador leaves office in September, and he really wants his party’s candidate, former Mexico City mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, to win the presidential elections. López Obrador has made other unfulfilled promises in the past, like pledging Mexico would have a health care system “better than in Denmark." But the cost of what López Obrador is proposing for pensions is striking. The other half of Mexicans, who work under the table in the ‘informal’ economy, have no pension program at all. It seems unlikely to be achieved, so why would López Obrador propose it?

Persons: —, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, López Obrador, Claudia Sheinbaum, “ It's, Morena, ”, Gabriela Siller, It's, he'll, “ López Obrador, Claudia, Sheinbaum, Viri Ríos Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Mexico City, Morena, Nuevo Leon, Banco Base, López Obrador doesn’t, National Guard Locations: MEXICO, Mexico, Denmark, Morena

☆ Remittances to Mexico near a record but 'super peso' crimps spending power
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Leslie Josephs | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A board displays the exchange rates for Mexican Peso and U.S. Dollar in Mexico City, Mexico March 13, 2023. People sending money back to Mexico this year have faced a new challenge: the "super peso." The skyrocketing peso has eroded the purchasing power of households in Mexico who rely on remittances from abroad. "What is truly important for recipients of remittances is not the amount they receive in dollars but the how much they can buy with that in Mexico," Siller Pagaza said. Siller Pagaza estimates that the spending power of remittances in Mexico will decline 9.9% this year, the first drop in a decade and the largest percentage fall in 13 years.

Persons: Lea, Gabriela Siller Pagaza, Siller Pagaza Organizations: U.S, Banco Base Locations: Mexico City, Mexico

The logo of Mexico's Central Bank (Banco de Mexico) is seen at its building in downtown Mexico City, Mexico February 28, 2019. Mexico could lure annual foreign direct investment flows of $55 billion to $60 billion if it takes better advantage of nearshoring, up from $36 billion in 2022, she said. That has dampened expectations Mexico could benefit from increased investment in semiconductors in North America. Mexico still faces competition to win investment from both North and Central America, plus Colombia, he said. "I don't think this measure is a game-changer to persuade those who have doubts," said Vejar.

Persons: Daniel Becerril, Gabriel Yorio, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Gabriela Siller, Siller, Yorio, Lopez Obrador, Ramse Gutierrez, Franklin Templeton, Tesla, Carlos Vejar, Valentine Hilaire, Dave Graham, Anthony Esposito, Grant McCool, Sonali Paul Organizations: Mexico's Central Bank, Banco, REUTERS, MEXICO CITY, Banco Base, Central America, Thomson Locations: Banco de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico, MEXICO, Asia, China, North America, Canada, United States, Franklin Templeton Mexico, Nuevo Leon, Mexican, North, Central, Colombia

☆ Mexico's Election Year Deficit Plan Fuels Fear Over Finances
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Sept. | At P.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +3 min

By Dave Graham and Diego OréMEXICO CITY (Reuters) - The Mexican government's plan to run up the biggest budget deficit in decades during the 2024 general election year could put pressure on public finances and eventually threaten its credit rating, analysts said on Monday. Lopez Obrador last week backed former Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum as his party's candidate to succeed him. Historic data show the projected budget deficit for 2024 will be the highest since 1988 as a proportion of GDP. The government's higher spending plans should bolster Latin America's second-biggest economy, which has outpaced forecasts this year, brightening the outlook for 2024. He also noted that since Mexico's current account deficit is currently considerably lower than foreign direct investment, there was a pool of untapped demand in the economy that the government could temporarily offset via higher spending.

Persons: Dave Graham, Diego, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Lopez, Patricia Terrazas, Lopez Obrador, Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, Gabriela Siller, Alberto Ramos, Goldman Sachs, Ramos, Raul Feliz, Feliz, Diego Ore, Noe Torres, Jamie Freed Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Lopez Obrador's, Action Party, PAN, Mexico City Mayor, Banco Base, Bank of Locations: MEXICO, Mexico, Bank of Mexico, Mexico City

REUTERS/Raquel Cunha Acquire Licensing RightsMEXICO CITY, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The Mexican government's plan to run up the biggest budget deficit in decades during the 2024 general election year could put pressure on public finances and eventually threaten its credit rating, analysts said on Monday. Lopez Obrador last week backed former Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum as his party's candidate to succeed him. Historic data show the projected budget deficit for 2024 will be the highest since 1988 as a proportion of GDP. The government's higher spending plans should bolster Latin America's second-biggest economy, which has outpaced forecasts this year, brightening the outlook for 2024. He also noted that since Mexico's current account deficit is currently considerably lower than foreign direct investment, there was a pool of untapped demand in the economy that the government could temporarily offset via higher spending.

Persons: Mexico's Finance Ministry Rogelio Ramirez de la O, Marcela Guerra, Raquel Cunha, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Lopez, Patricia Terrazas, Lopez Obrador, Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, Gabriela Siller, Alberto Ramos, Goldman Sachs, Ramos, Raul Feliz, Feliz, Dave Graham, Diego Ore, Noe Torres, Jamie Freed Organizations: Mexico's Finance Ministry, Mexican, REUTERS, Lopez Obrador's, Action Party, PAN, Mexico City Mayor, Banco Base, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Mexico City, Mexico, MEXICO, Bank of Mexico

☆ Mexican peso hits 7-1/2 year high vs dollar, further gains eyed
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The currency, which has been dubbed the "super peso" in some quarters, including by its most prominent cheerleader, President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, strengthened by more than 1.3% in morning trading to 16.63 per dollar. "What's happening with the peso right now is due to weakness in the dollar, but also because of optimism surrounding the Mexican peso," said Banco Base analyst Gabriela Siller. "And with this international investors keep buying Mexican pesos and it may keep appreciating," she added. Data pointing to softening U.S. inflation on the one hand and better-than-expected growth data on the other has helped weaken the dollar and boost the peso, which could continue firming to 16.40 to the dollar, Siller said. Reporting by Anthony Esposito and Aida Pelaez-Fernandez, editing by Deepa BabingtonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Gabriela Siller, Siller, Anthony Esposito, Aida Pelaez, Fernandez, Deepa Babington Organizations: MEXICO CITY, greenback, Federal Reserve, Banco Base, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, America, United States

☆ Mexico to hike minimum wage by 20% in 2023, raising inflation worries
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MEXICO CITY, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Mexico will raise the minimum wage by 20% next year after employers, labor representatives and the government reached an agreement, officials said on Thursday, although some critics warned the move could fuel inflation. The latest minimum wage increase was calculated taking inflation into account, particularly price increases for basic goods, Lopez Obrador told reporters, playing down inflation concerns. Gabriela Siller, an economist at Banco BASE, pointed to three reasons why she believes the planned wage increase will pressure inflation further, even if some salary hike was already baked into inflation forecasts. Luis Munguia, head of Mexico's National Minimum Wage Commission (CONASAMI), said prices are expected to stay virtually flat because labor costs are already low in Mexico. Salaries in Mexico remain far below U.S. levels, where the federal minimum wage stands at $7.25 an hour.

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